Taiwan, Linear History and Planet Earth

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Thursday June 15, by Jerome F. Keating Ph.D.

The US' withdrawal from the Paris Agreement has naturally set the tongues of commentators and pundits all over the world wagging, because of its abruptness and its implications.

Ignore for the moment the technical reality that the US cannot formally extricate itself from this accord before Nov. 4, 2020; the criticisms and judgments are still justified.

A prime motive among the signatory nations is the growing and expressed realization that whatever a nation's size, all people as members of the human race, share a common home on planet earth, and with that home is the mutual goal of interdependent survival.

The fate of the Earth in issues like climate change can now be linked to the actions of any and all member nations but in particular to the actions of the larger nations like the US.

The reality of this shared dependency and responsibility is found in the well-known saying of the ancient Jewish scholar, Hillel HaGadol in which he presented the dialectic of individual and community. "If I am not for myself, who will be for me; but if I am only for myself, what am I? If not now, then when?"

In examining this dialectic from a macro perspective where nations are seen as individuals in a community of nations, it is clear that any nation can and should have a legitimate self-interests, but that national self-interest should never be at the expense of the planet and the survival of all,

While a greater burden falls on the competitiveness of larger and more influential nations, that does not mean that they can ignore the needs of others.

For example, the dystopia George Orwell painted in his prophetic novel, 1984, comes to mind.

Based on what he knew at the end of World War II, Orwell projected a world that was divided into 3 competing major powers, Oceania, Eurasia and Eastasia, which seemed to always be at war with each other, and be seeking to control the remaining other territories.

The exactness of Orwell's thought could be contested, but in today's world there are indeed three major powers, the US, Russia and China. The national interests of these three are frequently in contention with each other and so other nations, particularly smaller nations, will often suffer from their zero sum games.

A deeper issue involved is that many people in the three major nations still maintain a cyclic perspective on history and can only see their greatness as a return to the glory days of yore.

They fail to see that human life and actions are linear and are becoming more interdependent.

Process is the norm and the world continues to change and become smaller in scope. There might be regression, because process is not always progress, but the world continues in process.

People can never go home again; a new global paradigm is developing.

The election promise of US President Donald Trump to "make America great again" is one such lost cry.

It is primarily supported by those who miss the past glory days of the 1950s when US manufacturing, untouched by the ravages of war led the world.

Those people fail to see that the US manufacturing purposely moved overseas because of the US's desire for cheap consumer goods produced by cheap labor in a globally competitive market.

Taiwan learned this lesson in the 1980s - it is now linear in thinking and does not seek to return to its past one-party state days, but the US still looks back.

Russia under President Vladimir Putin seeks to nostalgically return to the pre-perestroika and pre-glasnost days of the Soviet Union where Russia was a much stronger power under the banner of Marx. It wants a return to past control while still allowing for its new-founded capitalist oligarchies.

China of course wishes to return to Middle Kingdom glory days by keeping the lands the Manchus conquered while seeking to forget their "century of humiliation," but it now faces new challenges as past double-digit GDP growth is no longer possible and a demand for transparency increases while its population ages. It might not avoid the fate of Russia.

Each of these three nations faces its own problems and thinks that they can be solved by a cyclic restoration of past greatness.

All fail to see linear concept history and how with a "shrinking planet," Hillel's concepts demonstrate that a paradigm shift is in order.

In the new world order, no one nation can be the dominant leader. In addition to national self-interest, all nations must be willing to jointly protect the home planet.

Writing over 70 years ago, Orwell can be excused for various omissions. He wrote for nations at the end of World War II and in particular a world where mid-sized states had not established their key role.

Orwell could not have anticipated a EU made up of mid-sized nations; he would have had no idea on how it would deal with Brexit.

He could also not see the future importance of a vast continent full of mid-sized nations like Africa. And he could not have foreseen the challenge of a nation like Taiwan.

Among the mid-sized nations perhaps the greatest anomaly and challenge is that of Taiwan.

Taiwan has a population larger than 70 percent of the nations in the UN; its GDP is larger than 85 percent of all nations. It is number 14 in global competitiveness among some 200 nations and even takes the words of Hillel seriously: it is for itself; but it is also for others.

By all standards it should be recognized as a great contributor but it is not.

Taiwan is shut out by the selfishness of one nation and that provides a continuous danger to the world, including the health of the planet. For example, its knowledgeable representatives were not allowed in WHO's World Health Assembly.

Following the words of Hillel, leadership in most EU member states sense that the nation cannot be only for themselves.

It also now appears that British Prime Minster Theresa May, who wanted a stronger hand going into Brexit talks will most likely not get it while in the US, many cities and states are resisting Trump's decision to pull out of the Paris accord and promising to abide by it.

Trump must once again face the fact that although he won by the quirk of the Electoral College, he lost by 3 million votes. And in Russia, whatever happens, it will not regain many of the Eastern block countries it lost.

The double anomaly of Taiwan can be a beacon here, and play a beacon's role in this changing landscape. Other nations, particularly mid-sized ones can sense the discredit it has received while acknowledging its distinctive prominence.

Taiwan must be for itself but it also remains committed to the global community. It is time for the global community, to accept and welcome the reality of Taiwan.